It's out! The final draft of Network Rail's Route Utilisation Strategy for London and the South East is out! The document is a capacity plan for all routes in to London over the next 20 years and includes support for a southern extension to the Bakerloo Line from Elephant & Castle, with the most likely route passing through New Cross Gate, Lewisham, Ladywell, Catford and on to Hayes:
The RUS supports the concept of a southern extension to the London Underground Limited Bakerloo line, providing new journey opportunities and alleviating crowding on rail routes
into London Charing Cross, by means of taking over the Hayes route...
Such a line would also provide additional capacity in inner South London, greatly improving travel opportunities for areas such as Denmark Hill and Camberwell. There may also be capacity relief to the Elephant & Castle corridor to Blackfriars, depending on the specific route chosen.
Lewisham Council's submission during the consultation process supported an extension along the Hayes route in principle.
The extension (not likely to materialise before the next decade) would significantly improve local transport options and capacity, with Brockley Station one stop from a major new interchange at New Cross Gate. But how would Ladywell residents feel about the loss of Hayes trains?